Melanie Guldi 

Published Articles

  1. "The Great Recession's Baby-less Recovery: The Role of Unintended Births",  with Kasey Buckles  and Lucie Schmidt. Journal of Human Resources, forthcoming.  Previously circulated as "Fertility Trends in the United States, 1980-2017:  The Role of Unintended Births.": https://www.nber.org/papers/w25521
    Press: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2019/02/12/693587418/the-baby-less-recovery

  2. Supplemental Security Income for Children, Maternal Labor Supply, and Family Well-Being: Evidence from Birth Weight Eligibility Cut-Offs" (with Amelia Hawkins, Jeffrey Hemmeter, and Lucie Schmidt). Journal of Human Resources, forthcoming.
    Link to NBER working paper (prior title: “Supplemental Security Income, Medicaid, and Child Outcomes: Evidence from Birth Weight Eligibility Cut-Offs”): https://www.nber.org/papers/w24913 

  3. "The Global COVID-19 Student Survey: First Wave Results" (with Jaime Arellano-Bover, David Jaeger, Krzysztof Karbownik, Marta Martínez-Matute, John Nunley, R. Alan Seals, Miguel Almunia, Mackenzie Alston, Sascha O. Becker, Pilar Beneito, René Böheim José E. Boscá, Jessica H. Brown, Simon Chang, Deborah Cobb-Clark, Shooshan Danagoulian, Sandra Donnally, Marissa Eckrote-Nordland, Lídía Farré Javier Ferri, Margherita Fort, Jane Cooley Fruewirth, Rebecca Gelding, Allen C. Goodman, Simone Häckl, Janet Hankin, Scott Imberman, Joanna Lahey, Joan Llull, Hani Mansour, Isaac McFarlin, Jaakko Meriläinen, Tove Mortlund, Martin Nybom, Stephen D. OConnell, Rupert Sausgruber, Amy Ellen Schwarz, Jan Stuhler, Petra Thiemann, Roel van Veldhuizen, Marianne Wannamaker, and Maria Zhu), Covid Economics: Vetted and Real-time Papers 79:152-217 (May 2021, not refereeed).
    Link: http://www.djaeger.org/research/pubs/covid-economics.pdf  ​
    Link to online appendix: http://www.djaeger.org/research/pubs/covid-economics-online-appendix.pdf 
    IZA working paper: https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/14419/the-global-covid-19-student-survey-first-wave-results

  4. Body Weight and Internet Access: Evidence from the Rollout of Broadband Providers" Journal of Population Economics, 2019, 32: 877–913. (with David Simon and Michael DiNardi) https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-018-0709-9 

  5. "Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates " (with Alan Barreca and Olivier Deschenes), Demography, August 2018, 55(4):1269–1293.  https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13524-018-0690-7  (working paper version: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2676902)

  6. "Worth the Wait? The Effect of Early Term Birth on Maternal and Infant Health " (with Kasey Buckles) Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Fall 2017, 36(4): 748-772. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/pam.22014 (IZA working paper 10082 http://ftp.iza.org/dp10082.pdf)

  7. "Offline Effects of Online Connecting: The Impact of Broadband Diffusion on Teen Fertility Decisions", Journal of Population Economics, January 2017, 30(1): 69–91. (with Chris Herbst) http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00148-016-0605-0  earlier version: http://ftp.iza.org/dp9076.pdf

  8. "Title IX and the Education of Teen Mothers", Economics of Education Review, Volume 55, December 2016, Pages 103–116. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775716305234

  9. "Maternal Bed Rest and Infant Health" The American Journal of Health Economics, Summer 2015, Vol. 1, No. 3, Pages 345-373. (with Christine Piette Durrance) http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/AJHE_a_00021#.Vi9snHTD_IU

  10. "Recent Evidence on the Broad Benefits of Reproductive Health Policy" Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol 32(4): 888-896, Autumn 2013. (with Martha J. Bailey and Brad J. Hershbein) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pam.21710/full 

  11. "Further Evidence on the Internal Validity of the Early Legal Access Research Design" Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol 32(4): 899-904, Autumn 2013. (with Martha J. Bailey and Brad J. Hershbein) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pam.21716/full

  12. "Saving Babies? Revisiting the effect of very low birth weight classification,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(4), 2011(with Alan I. Barreca, Jason Lindo, and Glen R. Waddell). http://qje.oxfordjournals.org/content/126/4/2117.full.pdf+html  

  13. “Changing the Price of Marriage: Evidence from Blood Test Requirements." Journal of Human Resources, Summer 2011, 46(3): 539–567.  (with Kasey Buckles and Joe Price).https://muse.jhu.edu/journals/journal_of_human_resources/v046/46.3.buckles.pdf 

  14. “Fertility Effects of Abortion and Pill Access for Minors” Demography, Volume 45, Number 4, November 2008, pp. 817-827. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1353%2Fdem.0.0026 

  15. “Exchange Rate Exposure: A Nonparametric Approach”, Emerging Markets Review, 12(4): 321-337 (with Uluc Aysun). http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014111000422 

  16. “Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Foreign Exchange Exposure,” Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 47(6), 46-67. (with Uluc Aysun). http://connection.ebscohost.com/c/articles/70607678/derivatives-market-activity-emerging-markets-exchange-rate-exposure

Book Chapters

  1. “Taxes, Transfers, and Women’s Labor Supply in the United States” (forthcoming) in  Handbook on Women and the Economy, Oxford University Press, Edited by Susan L. Averett, Laura M. Argys, and Saul D. Hoffman, Oxford University Press, 2018. (with Lucie Schmidt). http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190628963.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780190628963-e-18

  2. "Is There a Case for a 'Second Demographic Transition'? Three Distinctive Features of the Post-1960 U.S. Fertility Decline" in Human Capital in History: The American Record in honor of Claudia Goldin; Leah P. Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo, editors, University of Chicago Press, 2014.  (with Martha J. Bailey and Brad J. Hershbein).
    http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo18411047.html  

  3. “A Survey of the Literature on Early Legal Access to the Birth Control Pill and its Influence on Young Women’s Fertility, Education, Career and Labor Supply” in Research Handbook in the Law and Economics of the Family, edited by Lloyd R. Cohen and Joshua D. Wright, Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 2011. http://www.elgaronline.com/view/9781848444379.00016.xml 

  4. “Family Background and Children’s Transitions to Adulthood: Across Cohort Differences 1970s through the 1990s” in The Price of Independence: The Economics of Early Adulthood, edited by Sheldon Danziger and Cecilia Rouse, New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2007. (with Marianne Page and Ann Stevens). http://transitions.s410.sureserver.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/guldi.pdf 

Working Papers

  1. “Public Transfer Payment Timing and Traffic Fatalities” (with Angela Dills) Working Paper Available upon request.

  2. "The Effects of Pregnancy-Related Medicaid Expansions on Maternal, Infant, and Child Health" (with Sarah Hamersma) Under Review (revisions requested). Working paper Available upon request.

  3. "R&D, Market Power and the Cyclicality of Employment" (with Uluc Aysun, Adam Honig and Zeynep Yom) link: https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/cflwpaper/2020-01ua.htm Under Review (revisions requested)

  4. “Health Effects of Changes in the Air Medical Service Market” (with Elizabeth Munnich and Steven Talbert). Under Review. Working paper Available upon request.

  5. "Little Divergence in America — Market Access and Demographic Transition in the United States" (with Ahmed Rahman) IZA Working Paper No. 15215: https://docs.iza.org/dp15215.pdf.

  6. “Early Legal Access: Laws and Policies Governing Contraceptive Access, 1960-1980. Working Paper” 2011 (with Martha Bailey, Erin Buzuvis, and Allison Davido). Working paper available upon request.

Works in Progress

  1. “Effects of Craigslist Market Entry on Fertility Outcomes” (with Scott Cunningham and Christine Durrance)

  2. “SSI and Labor Supply” (with Amelia Hawkins, Jeffrey Hemmeter, and Lucie Schmidt)

  3. “Plan B and Obesity” (with Jason Lindo and Michael DiNardi)

Other Publications (not refereed)

  1. Aswani, M., Friedson, A., and Guldi, M. (2021). AJHE NewsBrief: Support for Teaching Health Economics. American Society of Health Economists Newsletter. Issue 2021:3. https://www.ashecon.org/newsletter/newsletter-20213/support-for-teaching-health-economics/

  2. Barreca, A., Deschanes, O. Guldi, M. (2015).Climate change’s hotter weather could reduce human fertility. November 24, 2015. https://theconversation.com/climate-changes-hotter-weather-could-reduce-human-fertility-50273

  3. Durrance, C.P, Guldi, M. (2015). AJHE NewsBrief: Maternal Bed Rest and Infant Health. American Society of Health Economists Newsletter. Issue 2015:2. http://ashecon.org/2015/12/newsletter/v2015n2i4/